Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Kimani Vidal

LAC

RB44 · overall #134 · tier 8 · age 24

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Projected points

90

7.2/gm

Value over replacement

4

repl 110

Range

39–141

sd 51

Week

6.9

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.8
Carries / game
9.3
Receptions / game
1.4
Rec yards / game
11
Rush yards / game
39
Rush TD / game
0.18
Rec TD / game
0.06
Total TD / game
0.24
Games projected
12.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.8
Games of history
22
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.46
OL pass protection
+0.58
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
83
Effective contributors
3.10
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ARI,LV,BUF
Window matchup
+1.19
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,KC
After matchup
-0.96
Flip edge
+2.15
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.06

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

13

Points

109.9

Per game

8.45

17-gm pace

144

Best / worst

21.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
40.00000000
52.441801110
621.318124043141
75.5920054150
819.223117121100
93.0123001000
1017.32595111130
112.2513022-10
1320.225126111110
1410.91444031600
155.31233011150
161.151100000
181.5312011-20