QB
Kenny Pickett
CARQB43 · overall #600 · tier 9 · age 28
Projected points
82
8.0/gm
Value over replacement
-86
repl 261
Range
48–116
sd 34
Week
5.1
vs CHI
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 204
- Pass yards
- 1378
- Pass TD
- 7.3
- Carries
- 16
- Rush yards
- 67
- Rush TD
- 0.6
- Games projected
- 10.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 7.0
- Games of history
- 36
- Age multiplier
- 1.012
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 59.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.31
- OL pass protection
- +0.20
- OL continuity
- 60%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.67
- Scheme creativity
- -0.69
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- CHI,ATL,CLE
- Window matchup
- -0.37
- Opponents after
- DET,PHI
- After matchup
- -0.20
- Flip edge
- -0.16
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.11
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
6
Points
7.7
Per game
1.29
17-gm pace
22
Best / worst
8.5 / -1.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | -1.7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 8.5 | 8 | 11 | 97 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | 1.3 | 15 | 25 | 64 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | -1.0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |