Kendrick Bourne

ARI

WR141 · overall #321 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

4.3/gm

Value over replacement

-42

repl 119

Range

0–117

sd 60

Week

4.7

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 3.0
Carries / game: 0.2
Receptions / game: 2.0
Rec yards / game: 25
Rush yards / game: 1
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.10
Total TD / game: 0.10
Games projected: 13.2
Observed pts/gm (history): 6.7
Games of history: 50
Age multiplier: 0.813
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.3
Projected plays / game: 62.2
Projected pass rate: 59%
OL run block: -0.14
OL pass protection: -0.29
OL continuity: 51%
2TE rate: 48%
3WR rate: 52%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.40
Scheme creativity: +0.44
Play action / motion: 25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 88
Effective contributors: 3.31
Top player's share: 46%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.93

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup: +0.14
Opponents after: DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup: -0.27
Flip edge: +0.42
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 14
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.38

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

55.1

Per game

3.94

17-gm pace

Best / worst

14.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
2	3.2	WR73	3	3	32
3	3.8	WR54	6	4	38
4	1.7	WR84	4	1	17
5	14.2	WR9	11	10	142
6	14.2	WR12	9	5	142
7	1.4	WR84	2	2	14
8	4.4	WR49	4	3	44
9	3.4	WR56	2	2	34
10	1.9	WR67	1	1	19
13	0.0	WR108	1	0	0
15	1.7	WR82	3	2	17
16	2.7	WR70	5	3	27
17	2.5	WR66	1	1	25
18	0.0	WR108	1	0	0