Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Keenan Allen

IND

WR81 · overall #192 · tier 9 · age 34

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Projected points

93

6.7/gm

Value over replacement

-10

repl 119

Range

14–172

sd 79

Week

7.5

@ WAS

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.0
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.2
Rec yards / game
38
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.24
Total TD / game
0.24
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.7
Games of history
55
Age multiplier
0.719
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
61.8
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.76
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
35%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
+0.12
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.54
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
WAS,PIT,TEN
Window matchup
+0.69
Opponents after
MIN,JAX,DAL
After matchup
+0.26
Flip edge
+0.43
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.35

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

101.7

Per game

5.98

17-gm pace

102

Best / worst

17.9 / 1.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
112.8WR1110768100
212.1WR187561100
312.5WR1311765100
43.7WR557537000
55.8WR459558000
62.7WR607427000
717.9WR71411119100
84.4WR495444000
94.1WR535241000
101.9WR675219000
115.3WR376453000
133.0WR555430000
142.2WR653322000
153.6WR597536000
164.4WR485544000
171.7WR793117000
183.6WR4413736000