Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Kameron Johnson

TB

WR235 · overall #555 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

12

1.0/gm

Value over replacement

-81

repl 119

Range

0–39

sd 27

Week

0.3

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.5
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
0.3
Rec yards / game
4
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.05
Total TD / game
0.05
Games projected
12.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.0
Games of history
21
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.87
OL pass protection
+1.31
OL continuity
80%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.51
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
4.77
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
GB,DAL,PIT
Window matchup
+0.22
Opponents after
CAR,ATL,CHI
After matchup
+0.41
Flip edge
-0.18
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.64

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

17.7

Per game

1.04

17-gm pace

18

Best / worst

16.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
10.0WR118000000
20.0WR122000000
30.0WR120000000
40.0WR114000000
50.2WR99000012
616.4WR144464100
70.0WR103100000
80.0WR97000000
101.1WR921000111
110.0WR107000000
120.0WR98000000
130.0WR109000000
140.0WR102100000
150.0WR104000000
160.0WR119000000
170.0WR120000000
180.0WR109000000