Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Kalif Raymond

CHI

WR193 · overall #455 · tier – · age 32

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Projected points

43

3.0/gm

Value over replacement

-63

repl 119

Range

0–86

sd 43

Week

8.7

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.9
Carries / game
0.3
Receptions / game
1.3
Rec yards / game
18
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.06
Total TD / game
0.06
Games projected
14.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.0
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.782
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.26
Top player's share
29%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.54
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
+0.10
Flip edge
+0.43
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.33

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

15

Points

42.8

Per game

2.85

17-gm pace

49

Best / worst

12.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
11.6WR823216000
22.3WR871114019
30.4WR115214000
47.3WR323213000
50.0WR100000000
60.0WR99000000
71.7WR703317000
90.0WR96100000
105.9WR3744490110
110.0WR104000000
123.7WR462237000
152.0WR791120000
1612.2WR155462100
170.5WR107215000
185.2WR313352000