Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Kalel Mullings

TEN

RB119 · overall #394 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

21

2.1/gm

Value over replacement

-54

repl 116

Range

20–22

sd 1

Week

0.5

@ BAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.6
Carries / game
3.0
Receptions / game
0.5
Rec yards / game
3
Rush yards / game
11
Rush TD / game
0.06
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.07
Games projected
10.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.2
Games of history
4
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.4
Projected plays / game
59.5
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.29
OL pass protection
-1.25
OL continuity
46%
2TE rate
21%
3WR rate
77%
1st-down pass rate
39%
Run friendly
+0.16
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
57
Effective contributors
1.68
Top player's share
74%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.70

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BAL,HOU,IND
Window matchup
-1.00
Opponents after
CLE,CIN
After matchup
-0.36
Flip edge
-0.64
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.55

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

4

Points

0.7

Per game

0.17

17-gm pace

3

Best / worst

0.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
120.0RB630000000
150.3RB771300000
160.0RB821000000
170.4RB741400000