WR
KaVontae Turpin
DALWR189 · overall #444 · tier – · age 30
Projected points
50
3.3/gm
Value over replacement
-61
repl 119
Range
16–84
sd 34
Week
3.1
@ HOU
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.0
- Carries / game
- 0.6
- Receptions / game
- 1.3
- Rec yards / game
- 17
- Rush yards / game
- 4
- Rush TD / game
- 0.01
- Rec TD / game
- 0.11
- Total TD / game
- 0.12
- Games projected
- 14.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 5.1
- Games of history
- 65
- Age multiplier
- 0.845
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.0
- Projected plays / game
- 64.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.24
- OL pass protection
- +0.09
- OL continuity
- 86%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.93
- Scheme creativity
- -0.33
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.92
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- HOU,TB,GB
- Window matchup
- -0.24
- Opponents after
- PHI,ARI,IND
- After matchup
- +0.19
- Flip edge
- -0.44
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.35
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
15
Points
58.5
Per game
3.90
17-gm pace
66
Best / worst
14.6 / -0.2
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.7 | WR69 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | 11.3 | WR22 | 4 | 4 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | 6.8 | WR35 | 3 | 2 | 64 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | 3.4 | WR58 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | 1.7 | WR70 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | -0.2 | WR118 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 1.3 | WR79 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | 0.0 | WR104 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 3.2 | WR50 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | 6.1 | WR39 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 33 |
| 14 | 3.0 | WR53 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | 1.2 | WR89 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 16 | 2.7 | WR70 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 13 |
| 17 | 14.6 | WR9 | 1 | 1 | 86 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.7 | WR94 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |