Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

K.J. Osborn

TEN

WR137 · overall #314 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

58

4.3/gm

Value over replacement

-41

repl 119

Range

0–136

sd 79

Week

1.3

@ BAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.5
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
2.1
Rec yards / game
24
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.18
Total TD / game
0.18
Games projected
13.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.3
Games of history
39
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.4
Projected plays / game
59.5
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.29
OL pass protection
-1.25
OL continuity
46%
2TE rate
21%
3WR rate
77%
1st-down pass rate
39%
Run friendly
+0.16
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
4.85
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BAL,HOU,IND
Window matchup
-0.58
Opponents after
CLE,CIN
After matchup
-0.48
Flip edge
-0.10
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.13

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for K.J. Osborn — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.