RB
Justice Hill
BALRB50 · overall #172 · tier 9 · age 28
Projected points
88
6.7/gm
Value over replacement
-8
repl 116
Range
49–127
sd 39
Week
4.6
vs TEN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 35
- Carries
- 69
- Receptions
- 28
- Rec yards
- 215
- Rush yards
- 319
- Rush TD
- 2.3
- Rec TD
- 1.1
- Total TD
- 3.4
- Games projected
- 13.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.9
- Games of history
- 56
- Age multiplier
- 0.915
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.9
- Projected plays / game
- 60.2
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +0.50
- OL pass protection
- -0.17
- OL continuity
- 57%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 34%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.69
- Scheme creativity
- +0.62
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 55
- Effective contributors
- 1.57
- Top player's share
- 78%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.64
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- TEN,ATL,CLE
- Window matchup
- +0.28
- Opponents after
- CIN,BUF,JAX
- After matchup
- +0.11
- Flip edge
- +0.17
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.28
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
10
Points
44.2
Per game
4.42
17-gm pace
75
Best / worst
23.7 / -1.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -1.1 | RB95 | 2 | -14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | 2.5 | RB49 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| 3 | 4.5 | RB42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
| 4 | 23.7 | RB6 | 3 | 76 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 1 |
| 5 | 1.2 | RB58 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 6 | 4.4 | RB33 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.2 | RB65 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 1.5 | RB49 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 | 7.3 | RB31 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.0 | RB63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |