Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Joshua Dobbs

DET

QB52 · overall #569 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

48

5.7/gm

Value over replacement

-84

repl 250

Range

0–99

sd 51

Week

1.3

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
118
Pass yards
830
Pass TD
4.9
Carries
9
Rush yards
57
Rush TD
0.5
Games projected
8.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.1
Games of history
21
Age multiplier
0.974
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.61
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.24
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
43
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.45

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CAR,ARI
Window matchup
+0.41
Opponents after
GB,MIN,MIA
After matchup
-0.11
Flip edge
+0.52
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.28

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

4

Points

2.1

Per game

0.53

17-gm pace

9

Best / worst

1.1 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
4-0.2QB37010003-20
70.3QB341112002-20
171.1QB343430002-10
180.9QB34342300300