Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Josh Williams

TB

RB123 · overall #410 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

25

2.3/gm

Value over replacement

-56

repl 116

Range

22–29

sd 4

Week

0.4

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.7
Carries / game
2.8
Receptions / game
0.5
Rec yards / game
4
Rush yards / game
12
Rush TD / game
0.07
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.08
Games projected
11.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.5
Games of history
2
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.87
OL pass protection
+1.31
OL continuity
80%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.51
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
62
Effective contributors
2.89
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.77

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
GB,DAL,PIT
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
CAR,ATL,CHI
After matchup
+0.32
Flip edge
-0.37
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

2

Points

1.1

Per game

0.55

17-gm pace

9

Best / worst

1.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
50.0RB710000000
81.1RB5941100000