WR
Josh Palmer
BUFWR86 · overall #198 · tier 10 · age 26
Projected points
70
5.4/gm
Value over replacement
-24
repl 115
Range
28–113
sd 43
Week
4.3
@ HOU
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 4.0
- Carries / game
- 0.2
- Receptions / game
- 2.5
- Rec yards / game
- 34
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.11
- Total TD / game
- 0.11
- Games projected
- 13.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.5
- Games of history
- 53
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.0
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- +1.34
- OL pass protection
- +1.30
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 28%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.96
- Scheme creativity
- +0.22
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.79
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- HOU,DET,LAC
- Window matchup
- +0.06
- Opponents after
- NE,LA,LV
- After matchup
- +0.56
- Flip edge
- -0.50
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.29
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
12
Points
41.3
Per game
3.44
17-gm pace
59
Best / worst
8.6 / 0.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8.6 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 3.5 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 4.6 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 7.0 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 2.7 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 3.1 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.7 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |