Josh Oliver

MIN

TE60 · overall #343 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

2.7/gm

Value over replacement

-46

repl 112

Range

0–57

sd 28

Week

2.2

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 1.6
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 1.1
Rec yards / game: 12
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.15
Total TD / game: 0.15
Games projected: 10.6
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.5
Games of history: 49
Age multiplier: 0.933
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.1
Projected plays / game: 61.1
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -0.05
OL pass protection: +0.10
OL continuity: 76%
2TE rate: 27%
3WR rate: 63%
1st-down pass rate: 46%
Run friendly: -0.76
Scheme creativity: +0.22
Play action / motion: 26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 13
Effective contributors: 1.86
Top player's share: 70%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: MIA,NO
Window matchup: +0.64
Opponents after: IND,DET,BUF
After matchup: +0.24
Flip edge: +0.40
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 6
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.87

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

55.0

Per game

4.58

17-gm pace

Best / worst

16.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	1.5	TE49	1	1	5	0
3	8.2	TE18	1	1	12	1
4	0.0	TE56	1	0	0	0
5	11.5	TE14	3	2	35	1
7	1.9	TE42	1	1	9	0
11	0.7	TE56	1	1	-3	0
12	1.4	TE52	1	1	4	0
14	16.4	TE4	2	2	24	2
15	2.8	TE46	1	1	18	0
16	3.9	TE38	3	2	19	0
17	1.8	TE48	2	1	8	0
18	4.9	TE34	2	2	29	0