Josh Jacobs

I'm a long way ahead of consensus RB20 and I'll defend it. 16.5 carries a game is a bell-cow number, and even with the age curve at 0.92 and a questionable tag, that volume plays.

HE IS SUSPENDED, NOT HURT, and for an unknown length -- Matt, 1 Sep. Sleeper's injury_body_part says Groin and that is what the first version of this row argued from; it is stale and it was the wrong premise. The right one is that Green Bay has him DEPTH 4 behind Lloyd, Brooks and Johnson while he serves a ban nobody has put a number on. WRITTEN AS A GAMES CLAIM, because that is what a suspension is: 6.0 games, and 7.5/g when he plays, which is a committee back rather than the bell cow he was. The first version spent the whole cut on RATE -- 11.0 games at 6.36/g -- which claims he plays most of the season BELOW replacement, and that is not a suspension, it is a different and false story. Note RB43 is about the floor the board can give a suspended man who returns at all: VOR credits the games he does play and streams the rest, so pricing him lower would require claiming he never comes back.

This is a view, not a correction — the model said something different and was overruled. See how it works.

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.