WR
Jordan Watkins
SFWR158 · overall #373 · tier – · age 24
Projected points
28
2.6/gm
Value over replacement
-51
repl 119
Range
24–32
sd 4
Week
2.9
vs DEN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 1.9
- Carries / game
- 0.2
- Receptions / game
- 1.2
- Rec yards / game
- 15
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.05
- Total TD / game
- 0.05
- Games projected
- 10.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 2.3
- Games of history
- 2
- Age multiplier
- 1.044
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.5
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.01
- OL pass protection
- -0.56
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 17%
- 3WR rate
- 45%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.64
- Scheme creativity
- +0.36
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 70%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.15
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DEN,SEA,WAS
- Window matchup
- -0.41
- Opponents after
- ATL,LV
- After matchup
- +0.14
- Flip edge
- -0.54
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -1.15
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
2
Points
4.6
Per game
2.30
17-gm pace
39
Best / worst
2.9 / 1.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.7 | WR83 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 2.9 | WR75 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |