Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Jonnu Smith

GB

TE53 · overall #300 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

66

4.4/gm

Value over replacement

-39

repl 112

Range

8–124

sd 58

Week

3.5

@ TB

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
47
Carries
3
Receptions
34
Rec yards
321
Rush yards
13
Rush TD
0.1
Rec TD
2.0
Total TD
2.1
Games projected
15.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.9
Games of history
63
Age multiplier
0.888
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.1
Projected plays / game
60.5
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
-0.62
OL pass protection
-0.44
OL continuity
60%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
60%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
+0.91
Scheme creativity
+0.54
Play action / motion
23% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
56
Effective contributors
3.04
Top player's share
45%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.69

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
TB,CHI,DAL
Window matchup
+0.19
Opponents after
DET,CAR,NE
After matchup
-0.01
Flip edge
+0.20
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.05

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

66.2

Per game

3.89

17-gm pace

66

Best / worst

10.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
110.0TE1165151
24.7TE2644270
33.8TE2933230
41.6TE463260
64.3TE3043180
710.3TE1363281
82.7TE3332170
94.0TE3453250
100.9TE502140
110.0TE572000
124.3TE2433210
131.1TE532160
140.0TE581000
159.6TE1122120
162.8TE391000
175.2TE2555180
180.9TE582120