TE
Jonnu Smith
GBTE53 · overall #300 · tier – · age 31
Projected points
66
4.4/gm
Value over replacement
-39
repl 112
Range
8–124
sd 58
Week
3.5
@ TB
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 3.1
- Carries / game
- 0.2
- Receptions / game
- 2.3
- Rec yards / game
- 21
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.01
- Rec TD / game
- 0.13
- Total TD / game
- 0.14
- Games projected
- 15.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 7.9
- Games of history
- 63
- Age multiplier
- 0.888
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.1
- Projected plays / game
- 60.5
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- -0.62
- OL pass protection
- -0.44
- OL continuity
- 60%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 60%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- +0.91
- Scheme creativity
- +0.54
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 56
- Effective contributors
- 3.04
- Top player's share
- 45%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.69
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- TB,CHI,DAL
- Window matchup
- +0.19
- Opponents after
- DET,CAR,NE
- After matchup
- -0.01
- Flip edge
- +0.20
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.05
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
47.2
Per game
2.78
17-gm pace
47
Best / worst
8.8 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7.5 | TE11 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
| 2 | 2.7 | TE32 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.3 | TE31 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.6 | TE48 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 6 | 2.8 | TE28 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| 7 | 8.8 | TE13 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 1 |
| 8 | 1.7 | TE34 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
| 9 | 2.5 | TE36 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.4 | TE50 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.0 | TE54 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 2.8 | TE24 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.6 | TE52 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.0 | TE57 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 8.6 | TE10 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 | 2.8 | TE27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.7 | TE29 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.4 | TE55 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |