RB
Jonathan Ward
BALRB111 · overall #363 · tier – · age 28
Projected points
14
1.6/gm
Value over replacement
-49
repl 116
Range
6–22
sd 8
Week
0.4
vs TEN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 0.5
- Carries / game
- 2.2
- Receptions / game
- 0.4
- Rec yards / game
- 2
- Rush yards / game
- 9
- Rush TD / game
- 0.04
- Rec TD / game
- 0.00
- Total TD / game
- 0.04
- Games projected
- 8.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 0.7
- Games of history
- 10
- Age multiplier
- 0.915
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.9
- Projected plays / game
- 60.2
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +0.50
- OL pass protection
- -0.17
- OL continuity
- 57%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 34%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.69
- Scheme creativity
- +0.62
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 55
- Effective contributors
- 1.57
- Top player's share
- 78%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.64
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- TEN,ATL,CLE
- Window matchup
- +0.28
- Opponents after
- CIN,BUF,JAX
- After matchup
- +0.11
- Flip edge
- +0.17
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.28
Last season game log
week by week
No 2025-season weekly record for Jonathan Ward — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.