RB
Jonathan Taylor
INDRB6 · overall #9 · tier 2 · age 27
Projected points
207
15.5/gm
Value over replacement
116
repl 110
Range
166–248
sd 41
Week
12.6
vs BAL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 3.3
- Carries / game
- 17.1
- Receptions / game
- 2.5
- Rec yards / game
- 19
- Rush yards / game
- 79
- Rush TD / game
- 0.68
- Rec TD / game
- 0.07
- Total TD / game
- 0.76
- Games projected
- 13.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 19.5
- Games of history
- 52
- Age multiplier
- 0.934
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.78
- OL pass protection
- +0.85
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 35%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 48%
- Run friendly
- +0.12
- Scheme creativity
- +0.53
- Play action / motion
- 31% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 1
- Effective contributors
- 1.32
- Top player's share
- 87%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.11
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- BAL,KC,HOU
- Window matchup
- -0.81
- Opponents after
- WAS,PIT,TEN
- After matchup
- +0.36
- Flip edge
- -1.18
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.30
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
316.3
Per game
18.61
17-gm pace
316
Best / worst
46.6 / 3.9
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9.8 | 18 | 71 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
| 2 | 27.5 | 25 | 165 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 1 |
| 3 | 29.8 | 17 | 102 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 0 |
| 4 | 9.6 | 17 | 76 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 0 |
| 5 | 28.6 | 17 | 66 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| 6 | 19.7 | 21 | 123 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 0 |
| 7 | 31.2 | 16 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 0 |
| 8 | 35.4 | 12 | 153 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| 9 | 5.7 | 14 | 45 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 | 46.6 | 32 | 244 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 | 6.6 | 16 | 58 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 | 12.1 | 21 | 85 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 | 11.4 | 21 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 10.1 | 25 | 87 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 | 13.9 | 16 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 | 14.4 | 21 | 70 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 | 3.9 | 14 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 |