Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jonathan Mingo

DAL

WR167 · overall #389 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

40

3.2/gm

Value over replacement

-53

repl 119

Range

16–65

sd 24

Week

1.4

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.2
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
1.7
Rec yards / game
20
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.05
Total TD / game
0.05
Games projected
12.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.6
Games of history
34
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
+0.09
OL continuity
86%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.33
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.92
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup
-0.24
Opponents after
PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup
+0.19
Flip edge
-0.44
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.35

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

5

Points

3.5

Per game

0.70

17-gm pace

12

Best / worst

3.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
140.0WR102100000
153.5WR821125000
160.0WR119100000
170.0WR120100000
180.0WR109100000