Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Jonah Coleman

DENROOKIE R4

RB86 · overall #498 · tier

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Projected points

35

2.4/gm

Value over replacement

-67

repl 110

Range

17–53

sd 18

Week

1.9

@ KC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.7
Carries / game
2.7
Receptions / game
0.6
Rec yards / game
4
Rush yards / game
12
Rush TD / game
0.09
Rec TD / game
0.02
Total TD / game
0.10
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.2
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+1.24
OL pass protection
+1.55
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
23%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.38
Scheme creativity
+0.14
Play action / motion
25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
48
Effective contributors
2.56
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.53

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
KC,JAX,LA
Window matchup
-0.81
Opponents after
SF,LAC,SEA
After matchup
-0.37
Flip edge
-0.44
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.60

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Jonah Coleman — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.