Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Joe Royer

CLEROOKIE R5

TE112 · overall #603 · tier

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Projected points

16

1.1/gm

Value over replacement

-88

repl 111

Range

0–34

sd 18

Week

0.9

@ JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.7
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
0.5
Rec yards / game
6
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.04
Total TD / game
0.04
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.24
OL pass protection
-1.83
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
84
Effective contributors
2.07
Top player's share
63%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.88

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
JAX,TB,CAR
Window matchup
-0.53
Opponents after
PIT,NYJ,BAL
After matchup
-0.38
Flip edge
-0.15
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.45

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Joe Royer — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.