QB
Joe Milton III
DALQB62 · overall #602 · tier – · age 26
Projected points
38
4.5/gm
Value over replacement
-95
repl 250
Range
7–69
sd 31
Week
0.9
@ HOU
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 12.8
- Pass yards / game
- 90
- Pass TD / game
- 0.57
- Carries / game
- 0.7
- Rush yards / game
- 5
- Rush TD / game
- 0.03
- Games projected
- 8.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 5.4
- Games of history
- 5
- Age multiplier
- 1.038
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.0
- Projected plays / game
- 64.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.24
- OL pass protection
- +0.09
- OL continuity
- 86%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.93
- Scheme creativity
- -0.33
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- HOU,TB,GB
- Window matchup
- +0.01
- Opponents after
- PHI,ARI,IND
- After matchup
- +0.23
- Flip edge
- -0.22
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.27
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
4
Points
10.3
Per game
2.58
17-gm pace
44
Best / worst
6.3 / -0.9
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | -0.4 | QB42 | 3 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 6.3 | QB24 | 3 | 4 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | -0.9 | QB43 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | 5.2 | QB27 | 7 | 13 | 73 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 0 |