Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Joe Flacco

CIN

QB53 · overall #570 · tier – · age 41

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Projected points

80

7.6/gm

Value over replacement

-84

repl 250

Range

36–124

sd 44

Week

2.2

vs JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
20.2
Pass yards / game
131
Pass TD / game
0.87
Carries / game
1.2
Rush yards / game
5
Rush TD / game
0.04
Games projected
10.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.5
Games of history
30
Age multiplier
0.897
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.73
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
JAX,MIA
Window matchup
+0.38
Opponents after
BAL,TEN,ATL
After matchup
-0.23
Flip edge
+0.61
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.58

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

13

Points

146.7

Per game

11.28

17-gm pace

192

Best / worst

30.7 / 0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
112.2QB20314529012260
28.8QB28254519911180
33.7QB32213614201000
41.3QB341634184023-10
618.8QB13294521920000
726.0QB6314734230530
824.3QB52134223202141
930.7QB23147470421-10
119.9QB222340199111-10
129.6QB19193718311130
160.2QB3611400000
171.2QB33352400420
180.2QB3900000120