Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jimmy Horn Jr.

CLE

WR221 · overall #504 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

30

2.2/gm

Value over replacement

-71

repl 119

Range

10–51

sd 21

Week

0.5

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.7
Carries / game
0.4
Receptions / game
1.1
Rec yards / game
12
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.05
Total TD / game
0.05
Games projected
13.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.9
Games of history
10
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.18
OL pass protection
-1.79
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.52
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup
-0.25
Opponents after
TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup
-0.30
Flip edge
+0.05
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

10

Points

28.7

Per game

2.87

17-gm pace

49

Best / worst

6.7 / 0.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
55.1WR6732210210
66.7WR4822360111
72.5WR86218017
80.9WR92100029
91.8WR86211017
122.1WR821111000
151.7WR96117000
162.5WR940000125
172.9WR87229000
182.5WR811115000