RB
Jerome Ford
MINRB51 · overall #173 · tier 9 · age 27
Projected points
91
6.7/gm
Value over replacement
-8
repl 116
Range
41–141
sd 50
Week
2.6
vs MIA
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 38
- Carries
- 94
- Receptions
- 29
- Rec yards
- 187
- Rush yards
- 399
- Rush TD
- 1.7
- Rec TD
- 0.9
- Total TD
- 2.5
- Games projected
- 13.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.3
- Games of history
- 57
- Age multiplier
- 0.934
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.1
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.05
- OL pass protection
- +0.10
- OL continuity
- 76%
- 2TE rate
- 27%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.76
- Scheme creativity
- +0.22
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 51
- Effective contributors
- 2.70
- Top player's share
- 46%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.58
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- MIA,NO
- Window matchup
- +0.54
- Opponents after
- IND,DET,BUF
- After matchup
- +0.33
- Flip edge
- +0.21
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.87
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
13
Points
17.6
Per game
1.35
17-gm pace
23
Best / worst
5.4 / -0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 | RB69 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.4 | RB35 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
| 3 | 1.0 | RB67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.3 | RB68 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 5 | 3.8 | RB37 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 6 | 3.0 | RB46 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.0 | RB59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 8 | -0.1 | RB78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.1 | RB66 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.2 | RB71 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | -0.3 | RB78 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 1.7 | RB61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 | 1.0 | RB57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |