RB
Jerome Ford
WASRB66 · overall #268 · tier 9 · age 26
Projected points
54
3.9/gm
Value over replacement
-40
repl 110
Range
0–108
sd 54
Week
3.2
@ PHI
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.3
- Carries / game
- 3.0
- Receptions / game
- 1.8
- Rec yards / game
- 11
- Rush yards / game
- 13
- Rush TD / game
- 0.08
- Rec TD / game
- 0.05
- Total TD / game
- 0.12
- Games projected
- 13.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.3
- Games of history
- 57
- Age multiplier
- 0.953
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.8
- Projected plays / game
- 60.8
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.49
- OL pass protection
- -0.83
- OL continuity
- 84%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.20
- Scheme creativity
- -0.17
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 49
- Effective contributors
- 2.63
- Top player's share
- 51%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.55
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- PHI,DAL,SEA
- Window matchup
- -0.22
- Opponents after
- IND,NYG,SF
- After matchup
- +0.39
- Flip edge
- -0.61
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.57
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
13
Points
17.6
Per game
1.35
17-gm pace
23
Best / worst
5.4 / -0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 5 | 3.8 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 6 | 3.0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 8 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | -0.3 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 |