Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Jermar Jefferson

MIN

RB107 · overall #350 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

24

2.5/gm

Value over replacement

-47

repl 116

Range

15–33

sd 9

Week

0.7

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
8
Carries
30
Receptions
6
Rec yards
43
Rush yards
123
Rush TD
0.6
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
0.7
Games projected
9.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.1
Games of history
2
Age multiplier
0.953
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.1
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.05
OL pass protection
+0.10
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
27%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.76
Scheme creativity
+0.22
Play action / motion
26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
51
Effective contributors
2.70
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIA,NO
Window matchup
+0.54
Opponents after
IND,DET,BUF
After matchup
+0.33
Flip edge
+0.21
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.87

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Jermar Jefferson — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.