Jaylen Wright

MIA

RB35 · overall #92 · tier 7 · age 23

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Projected points

9.4/gm

Value over replacement

repl 116

Range

56–117

sd 31

Week

1.5

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 2.2
Carries / game: 15.1
Receptions / game: 1.5
Rec yards / game: 11
Rush yards / game: 58
Rush TD / game: 0.25
Rec TD / game: 0.01
Total TD / game: 0.26
Games projected: 9.2
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.0
Games of history: 22
Age multiplier: 1.045
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 35.6
Projected plays / game: 60.1
Projected pass rate: 57%
OL run block: -1.09
OL pass protection: -0.47
OL continuity: 69%
2TE rate: 25%
3WR rate: 46%
1st-down pass rate: 42%
Run friendly: -0.06
Scheme creativity: +1.42
Play action / motion: 26% / 73%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score: 87
Effective contributors: 2.15
Top player's share: 63%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 1.92

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: avoid
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: MIN,CIN
Window matchup: -1.10
Opponents after: NYJ,NE,DET
After matchup: +0.14
Flip edge: -1.24
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 6
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.36

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

43.2

Per game

4.80

17-gm pace

Best / worst

16.7 / 0.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Att	Ru Yds	Ru TD	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
8	2.8	RB43	9	28	0	1	1	0
10	1.7	RB50	5	17	0	0	0	0
11	0.4	RB70	1	4	0	0	0	0
13	1.6	RB63	3	16	0	0	0	0
14	16.7	RB6	24	107	1	3	0	0
15	1.1	RB66	1	2	0	1	1	9
16	11.3	RB22	9	35	1	2	1	18
17	5.6	RB33	5	56	0	0	0	0
18	2.0	RB57	13	23	0	2	2	17