Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Jaxson Dart

NYG

QB11 · overall #92 · tier 4 · age 23

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Projected points

256

18.2/gm

Value over replacement

26

repl 261

Range

188–324

sd 68

Week

17.5

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
31.6
Pass yards / game
223
Pass TD / game
1.42
Carries / game
6.0
Rush yards / game
26
Rush TD / game
0.37
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
17.2
Games of history
14
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.42
OL pass protection
-0.21
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
68%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
-0.80
Scheme creativity
+0.10
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
66
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DAL,LA,TEN
Window matchup
+0.48
Opponents after
ARI,WAS,NO
After matchup
+1.14
Flip edge
-0.66
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

241.6

Per game

17.26

17-gm pace

293

Best / worst

28.4 / -0.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
2-0.3000001-30
30.300000130
419.813201111010541
515.62640202227550
623.617251951013581
728.41533283315111
819.41424193106171
927.22433191208561
1026.31929242006662
1313.61724139104200
1522.12036246219630
160.07133301270
1725.12230207009482
1820.42232230205320