Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jason Brownlee

KC

WR186 · overall #439 · tier – · age 27

← back to rankings

Projected points

13

1.3/gm

Value over replacement

-60

repl 119

Range

0–31

sd 19

Week

0.3

@ LV

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.9
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
0.5
Rec yards / game
7
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.06
Total TD / game
0.06
Games projected
9.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.0
Games of history
7
Age multiplier
0.939
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
63.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
+0.13
OL pass protection
-0.04
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
41%
3WR rate
56%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.61
Scheme creativity
+0.04
Play action / motion
17% / 55%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.80
Top player's share
25%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LV,LAC
Window matchup
+0.36
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,NYJ
After matchup
-0.24
Flip edge
+0.60
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.27

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

3

Points

0.0

Per game

0.00

17-gm pace

0

Best / worst

0.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
10.0WR118100000
50.0WR101000000
60.0WR100000000