Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Jarrett Stidham

DEN

QB48 · overall #536 · tier – · age 30

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Projected points

41

5.5/gm

Value over replacement

-76

repl 250

Range

6–77

sd 36

Week

1.0

@ SF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
13.6
Pass yards / game
102
Pass TD / game
0.61
Carries / game
0.9
Rush yards / game
5
Rush TD / game
0.02
Games projected
7.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.1
Games of history
8
Age multiplier
0.981
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.2
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+1.17
OL pass protection
+1.48
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
23%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
+0.15
Play action / motion
25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
SF,LAC,SEA
Window matchup
-0.43
Opponents after
ARI,KC,CAR
After matchup
+0.14
Flip edge
-0.56
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.26

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

1

Points

-0.1

Per game

-0.10

17-gm pace

-2

Best / worst

0.0 / -0.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
8-0.1QB33000001-10