Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Jared Wiley

KC

TE52 · overall #299 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

10

1.4/gm

Value over replacement

-39

repl 112

Range

7–14

sd 3

Week

0.3

@ LV

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.1
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
0.8
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.04
Total TD / game
0.04
Games projected
7.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.9
Games of history
3
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
63.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
+0.13
OL pass protection
-0.04
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
41%
3WR rate
56%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.61
Scheme creativity
+0.04
Play action / motion
17% / 55%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
6
Effective contributors
1.66
Top player's share
73%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.22

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LV,LAC
Window matchup
+0.46
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,NYJ
After matchup
-0.10
Flip edge
+0.57
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.19

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

2

Points

0.4

Per game

0.20

17-gm pace

3

Best / worst

0.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
130.4TE531140
180.0TE610000