Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jared Wayne

HOU

WR166 · overall #387 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

18

1.9/gm

Value over replacement

-53

repl 119

Range

0–37

sd 19

Week

0.7

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.4
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
0.9
Rec yards / game
10
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.06
Total TD / game
0.06
Games projected
9.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.0
Games of history
1
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.19
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.55
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DAL,TEN,JAX
Window matchup
+0.44
Opponents after
NYG,LAC
After matchup
-0.52
Flip edge
+0.96
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.86

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

1

Points

2.0

Per game

2.00

17-gm pace

34

Best / worst

2.0 / 2.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
82.0WR692220000