Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

James Mitchell

DAL

TE83 · overall #434 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

21

1.8/gm

Value over replacement

-60

repl 112

Range

10–32

sd 11

Week

0.5

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.3
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
1.0
Rec yards / game
10
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.06
Total TD / game
0.06
Games projected
11.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.1
Games of history
12
Age multiplier
1.010
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
+0.09
OL continuity
86%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.33
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
7
Effective contributors
1.72
Top player's share
74%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.24

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup
+0.18
Opponents after
PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup
+0.33
Flip edge
-0.14
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.27

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

2

Points

5.8

Per game

2.90

17-gm pace

49

Best / worst

3.7 / 2.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
43.7TE3422170
52.1TE4411110