RB
James Cook
BUFRB8 · overall #16 · tier 2 · age 26
Projected points
206
13.7/gm
Value over replacement
103
repl 110
Range
163–248
sd 43
Week
12.6
@ HOU
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.7
- Carries / game
- 13.7
- Receptions / game
- 2.1
- Rec yards / game
- 18
- Rush yards / game
- 68
- Rush TD / game
- 0.56
- Rec TD / game
- 0.11
- Total TD / game
- 0.68
- Games projected
- 15.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 16.3
- Games of history
- 66
- Age multiplier
- 0.953
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.0
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- +1.34
- OL pass protection
- +1.30
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 28%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.96
- Scheme creativity
- +0.22
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 8
- Effective contributors
- 1.73
- Top player's share
- 74%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.25
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- HOU,DET,LAC
- Window matchup
- +0.06
- Opponents after
- NE,LA,LV
- After matchup
- +0.28
- Flip edge
- -0.22
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.20
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
17
Points
302.2
Per game
17.78
17-gm pace
302
Best / worst
33.6 / 1.5
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21.2 | 13 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 58 | 0 |
| 2 | 26.5 | 21 | 132 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | 20.8 | 19 | 108 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| 4 | 22.5 | 22 | 117 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| 5 | 4.9 | 15 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 8.7 | 17 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 33.6 | 19 | 216 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 13.5 | 27 | 114 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 | 10.7 | 13 | 53 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 | 20.4 | 16 | 48 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 1 |
| 12 | 21.9 | 17 | 116 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 | 18.7 | 32 | 144 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 | 11.1 | 18 | 80 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 | 31.1 | 22 | 107 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | 26.4 | 16 | 117 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 | 8.7 | 20 | 74 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.5 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |