RB
James Conner
ARIRB56 · overall #150 · tier 9 · age 31
Projected points
72
6.4/gm
Value over replacement
-5
repl 110
Range
18–127
sd 55
Week
3.9
@ LAC
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 25
- Carries
- 75
- Receptions
- 20
- Rec yards
- 141
- Rush yards
- 316
- Rush TD
- 3.0
- Rec TD
- 0.7
- Total TD
- 3.6
- Games projected
- 11.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 15.1
- Games of history
- 45
- Age multiplier
- 0.857
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.3
- Projected plays / game
- 61.8
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- -0.66
- OL pass protection
- -0.78
- OL continuity
- 0%
- 2TE rate
- 48%
- 3WR rate
- 52%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.40
- Scheme creativity
- +0.44
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 90
- Effective contributors
- 4.46
- Top player's share
- 32%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 2.00
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- LAC,SEA,SF
- Window matchup
- -1.47
- Opponents after
- NYG,DET,LA
- After matchup
- -0.17
- Flip edge
- -1.29
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.16
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
3
Points
25.3
Per game
8.43
17-gm pace
143
Best / worst
11.2 / 3.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.4 | 12 | 39 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 2 | 11.2 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 0 |