RB
James Conner
ARIRB41 · overall #134 · tier – · age 31
Projected points
15
8.8/gm
Value over replacement
3
repl 116
Range
0–48
sd 33
Week
0.0
@ NYG
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.1
- Carries / game
- 10.0
- Receptions / game
- 1.7
- Rec yards / game
- 12
- Rush yards / game
- 43
- Rush TD / game
- 0.26
- Rec TD / game
- 0.05
- Total TD / game
- 0.31
- Games projected
- 1.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 15.1
- Games of history
- 45
- Age multiplier
- 0.857
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.3
- Projected plays / game
- 62.2
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- -0.14
- OL pass protection
- -0.29
- OL continuity
- 51%
- 2TE rate
- 48%
- 3WR rate
- 52%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.40
- Scheme creativity
- +0.44
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 90
- Effective contributors
- 4.46
- Top player's share
- 32%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 2.00
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- NYG,DET,LA
- Window matchup
- +0.25
- Opponents after
- DEN,DAL,SEA
- After matchup
- -0.36
- Flip edge
- +0.62
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.37
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
3
Points
25.3
Per game
8.43
17-gm pace
143
Best / worst
11.2 / 3.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.4 | RB21 | 12 | 39 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 2 | 11.2 | RB23 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| 3 | 3.7 | RB45 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 0 |