QB
Jameis Winston
NYGQB41 · overall #486 · tier 9 · age 32
Projected points
85
9.2/gm
Value over replacement
-65
repl 261
Range
19–151
sd 66
Week
5.8
vs DAL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 200
- Pass yards
- 1423
- Pass TD
- 8.7
- Carries
- 15
- Rush yards
- 61
- Rush TD
- 0.7
- Games projected
- 9.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.4
- Games of history
- 23
- Age multiplier
- 0.966
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.8
- Projected plays / game
- 62.5
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- +0.42
- OL pass protection
- -0.21
- OL continuity
- 75%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 68%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 48%
- Run friendly
- -0.80
- Scheme creativity
- +0.10
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- DAL,LA,TEN
- Window matchup
- +0.48
- Opponents after
- ARI,WAS,NO
- After matchup
- +1.14
- Flip edge
- -0.66
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.37
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
3
Points
42.3
Per game
14.09
17-gm pace
240
Best / worst
31.2 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11.0 | 19 | 29 | 201 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 12 | 31.2 | 18 | 36 | 366 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |