QB
Jameis Winston
NYGQB32 · overall #250 · tier 7 · age 32
Projected points
113
12.3/gm
Value over replacement
-31
repl 250
Range
53–173
sd 60
Week
7.2
vs ARI
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 27.2
- Pass yards / game
- 195
- Pass TD / game
- 1.19
- Carries / game
- 2.2
- Rush yards / game
- 8
- Rush TD / game
- 0.09
- Games projected
- 9.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.4
- Games of history
- 23
- Age multiplier
- 0.966
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.3
- Projected plays / game
- 62.6
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.24
- OL pass protection
- -0.01
- OL continuity
- 75%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.84
- Scheme creativity
- +0.09
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- ARI,WAS,NO
- Window matchup
- +0.63
- Opponents after
- HOU,PHI
- After matchup
- -0.78
- Flip edge
- +1.40
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.65
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
3
Points
42.3
Per game
14.09
17-gm pace
240
Best / worst
31.2 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11.0 | QB20 | 19 | 29 | 201 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 12 | 31.2 | QB1 | 18 | 36 | 366 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.0 | QB34 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |