Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Jalen Milroe

SEA

QB45 · overall #519 · tier 8 · age 23

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Projected points

42

5.7/gm

Value over replacement

-73

repl 250

Range

37–47

sd 5

Week

1.1

vs LAC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
14.5
Pass yards / game
104
Pass TD / game
0.66
Carries / game
0.9
Rush yards / game
5
Rush TD / game
0.02
Games projected
7.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
-0.5
Games of history
3
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.01
OL pass protection
+0.28
OL continuity
99%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LAC,SF,DEN
Window matchup
-0.10
Opponents after
KC,CHI,ARI
After matchup
+0.22
Flip edge
-0.33
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.50

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

3

Points

-1.6

Per game

-0.53

17-gm pace

-9

Best / worst

0.3 / -2.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
10.1QB3400000110
30.3QB3600000130
5-2.0QB3400000100