WR
Jalen McMillan
TBWR82 · overall #146 · tier 10 · age 24
Projected points
76
7.1/gm
Value over replacement
-1
repl 115
Range
19–134
sd 58
Week
4.9
@ CIN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 46
- Carries
- 4
- Receptions
- 29
- Rec yards
- 385
- Rush yards
- 28
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 3.5
- Total TD
- 3.5
- Games projected
- 10.8
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.7
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 1.044
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.88
- OL pass protection
- +1.32
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 44%
- Run friendly
- +0.57
- Scheme creativity
- -0.09
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 58%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 90
- Effective contributors
- 4.77
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 2.00
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- CIN,CLE,MIN
- Window matchup
- -0.25
- Opponents after
- GB,DAL,PIT
- After matchup
- +0.46
- Flip edge
- -0.71
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.62
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
4
Points
17.9
Per game
4.48
17-gm pace
76
Best / worst
11.4 / 1.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 3.8 | 2 | 2 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1.6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | 11.4 | 9 | 7 | 114 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |