WR
Jalen McMillan
TBWR74 · overall #171 · tier 9 · age 24
Projected points
46
6.4/gm
Value over replacement
-7
repl 119
Range
0–111
sd 64
Week
2.2
vs GB
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 3.9
- Carries / game
- 0.3
- Receptions / game
- 2.5
- Rec yards / game
- 33
- Rush yards / game
- 2
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.30
- Total TD / game
- 0.30
- Games projected
- 7.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.7
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 1.044
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.87
- OL pass protection
- +1.31
- OL continuity
- 80%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 44%
- Run friendly
- +0.51
- Scheme creativity
- -0.17
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 58%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 90
- Effective contributors
- 4.77
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 2.00
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- GB,DAL,PIT
- Window matchup
- +0.22
- Opponents after
- CAR,ATL,CHI
- After matchup
- +0.41
- Flip edge
- -0.18
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.64
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
4
Points
17.9
Per game
4.48
17-gm pace
76
Best / worst
11.4 / 1.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 3.8 | WR57 | 2 | 2 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1.6 | WR91 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | 11.4 | WR13 | 9 | 7 | 114 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.1 | WR80 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |