Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jalen Brooks

ARI

WR177 · overall #414 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

25

2.3/gm

Value over replacement

-56

repl 119

Range

8–42

sd 17

Week

1.0

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.8
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
1.0
Rec yards / game
13
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.06
Total TD / game
0.06
Games projected
10.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.5
Games of history
20
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.14
OL pass protection
-0.29
OL continuity
51%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
88
Effective contributors
3.31
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.93

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup
+0.14
Opponents after
DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup
-0.27
Flip edge
+0.42
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.38

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

5

Points

5.1

Per game

1.02

17-gm pace

17

Best / worst

3.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
50.0WR100000000
143.2WR493232000
151.9WR813119000
160.0WR118000000
180.0WR108000000