Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jakobie Keeney-James

PIT

WR114 · overall #263 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

38

4.0/gm

Value over replacement

-33

repl 119

Range

6–69

sd 32

Week

1.0

@ CLE

Why this ranking

hand-set 2026-08-22

Cut 22 Aug -- WR77 against ECR WR200, the largest gap on the board, and 5.47/g against a weighted 2.50. He is DEPTH 9 in Green Bay. The buried-in-pool check already lists him; this takes the number down to match, since being flagged twice by two different gates and left at WR77 is the board disagreeing with its own audit.

This is a view, not a correction — the model said something different and was overruled. See how it works.

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.0
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
1.8
Rec yards / game
23
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.13
Total TD / game
0.13
Games projected
9.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.5
Games of history
1
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.51
OL pass protection
+0.02
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup
+0.09
Opponents after
NO,CLE
After matchup
+0.25
Flip edge
-0.16
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.01

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

1

Points

1.5

Per game

1.50

17-gm pace

26

Best / worst

1.5 / 1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
181.5WR742215000