Jahan Dotson

ATL

WR155 · overall #365 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

4.1/gm

Value over replacement

-50

repl 119

Range

3–120

sd 59

Week

2.9

@ NO

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 3.1
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 1.8
Rec yards / game: 23
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.15
Total TD / game: 0.15
Games projected: 14.9
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.3
Games of history: 58
Age multiplier: 1.009
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.6
Projected plays / game: 61.7
Projected pass rate: 56%
OL run block: +0.05
OL pass protection: +0.17
OL continuity: 82%
2TE rate: 29%
3WR rate: 64%
1st-down pass rate: 40%
Run friendly: +0.35
Scheme creativity: -0.20
Play action / motion: 17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 90
Effective contributors: 3.77
Top player's share: 41%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup: +0.29
Opponents after: SF,TB,CIN
After matchup: -0.28
Flip edge: +0.57
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.24

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

32.2

Per game

2.15

17-gm pace

Best / worst

10.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	5.9	WR38	3	3	59	0
2	0.4	WR115	1	1	4	0
3	0.7	WR105	3	1	7	0
4	0.0	WR110	0	0	0	0
5	2.4	WR70	3	1	24	0
6	1.7	WR77	2	1	17	0
8	10.0	WR16	2	1	40	1
10	0.0	WR93	1	0	0	0
11	4.3	WR43	2	2	43	0
12	0.0	WR97	1	0	0	0
13	1.2	WR90	3	1	12	0
14	0.3	WR96	3	1	3	0
16	1.3	WR94	3	3	13	0
17	0.0	WR120	1	0	0	0
18	4.0	WR41	8	3	40	0