Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

J.J. McCarthy

NYG

QB36 · overall #367 · tier 8 · age 23

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Projected points

92

10.1/gm

Value over replacement

-50

repl 250

Range

14–170

sd 78

Week

2.4

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
207
Pass yards
1472
Pass TD
9.4
Carries
17
Rush yards
82
Rush TD
1.0
Games projected
9.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
13.1
Games of history
10
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.3
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
-0.01
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.84
Scheme creativity
+0.09
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
66
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ARI,WAS,NO
Window matchup
+0.63
Opponents after
HOU,PHI
After matchup
-0.78
Flip edge
+1.40
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.65

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

10

Points

125.4

Per game

12.54

17-gm pace

213

Best / worst

23.5 / 0.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
122.2QB121320143212251
22.8QB351121158025250
918.9QB141425143219121
1014.7QB162042248125480
116.0QB27163215012000
120.5QB31121987022100
1420.4QB91623163306190
1523.5QB71524250214151
168.3QB25914108012201
188.0QB26142318200270