QB
J.J. McCarthy
NYGQB36 · overall #367 · tier 8 · age 23
Projected points
92
10.1/gm
Value over replacement
-50
repl 250
Range
14–170
sd 78
Week
2.4
vs ARI
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 22.8
- Pass yards / game
- 162
- Pass TD / game
- 1.04
- Carries / game
- 1.9
- Rush yards / game
- 9
- Rush TD / game
- 0.12
- Games projected
- 9.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 13.1
- Games of history
- 10
- Age multiplier
- 1.038
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.3
- Projected plays / game
- 62.6
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.24
- OL pass protection
- -0.01
- OL continuity
- 75%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.84
- Scheme creativity
- +0.09
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- ARI,WAS,NO
- Window matchup
- +0.63
- Opponents after
- HOU,PHI
- After matchup
- -0.78
- Flip edge
- +1.40
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.65
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
10
Points
125.4
Per game
12.54
17-gm pace
213
Best / worst
23.5 / 0.5
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22.2 | QB12 | 13 | 20 | 143 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1 |
| 2 | 2.8 | QB35 | 11 | 21 | 158 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 0 |
| 9 | 18.9 | QB14 | 14 | 25 | 143 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 1 |
| 10 | 14.7 | QB16 | 20 | 42 | 248 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 | 6.0 | QB27 | 16 | 32 | 150 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.5 | QB31 | 12 | 19 | 87 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 | 20.4 | QB9 | 16 | 23 | 163 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 | 23.5 | QB7 | 15 | 24 | 250 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
| 16 | 8.3 | QB25 | 9 | 14 | 108 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| 18 | 8.0 | QB26 | 14 | 23 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |