Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Isaiah Williams

NYJ

WR130 · overall #301 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

56

4.4/gm

Value over replacement

-39

repl 119

Range

27–84

sd 29

Week

3.6

@ CHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.6
Carries / game
0.3
Receptions / game
2.3
Rec yards / game
24
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.05
Total TD / game
0.05
Games projected
12.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.3
Games of history
23
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.17
OL pass protection
-0.10
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.43
Scheme creativity
-0.07
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
6.43
Top player's share
22%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CHI,CLE,NE
Window matchup
+0.28
Opponents after
MIA,LV,KC
After matchup
+0.04
Flip edge
+0.24
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.07

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

15

Points

60.7

Per game

4.05

17-gm pace

69

Best / worst

11.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
20.0WR122000000
30.0WR120000000
40.0WR114000000
60.0WR100000000
70.0WR103000000
88.6WR4643310125
107.4WR44114000
111.6WR96412014
120.0WR98000000
130.0WR109100000
1410.4WR293224000
1511.3WR347653000
166.5WR614425000
177.5WR495430015
187.4WR427524000